关键是你这个thin value bet在我看来并不是+EV而是-EV的。1) 你要value的两手low sets combos <<<<< low/nut straights combos 2) You cannot really assign 0% weight to low/nut straight combos. Assuming he had straight, from his perspective he could check to induce your bluff. 因为你可能也有busted flush draw + trash这样的牌来bluff,加上前两条街他都是check call,最后用nut straight来一个donk bet对于他来说不是太直白了吗?
non-zero weight to low/nut straight combs加上straight combos本来就大,让我觉得这是个-EV action.