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Phil Hellmuth专栏
I think it is a good decision that Phil goes back to his style. Small ball is too much for sensitive fragile Cancers. Cancers are not good at taking swings, ups and downs. That is not to say Cancers are weak players. Actually Cancers are tenacious and compassionate, if they set their goals, they will win in a long run.
Well, I have watched a few videos of Phil playing poker, including the one he beats Johnny Chan at 1989 WSOP. What really interests me is, how his instinct leads the play. Cancers have strong instincts -- that is, they feel it, and most of the time, the feeling is right. But sometimes, when the instinct goes wrong, it just goes so wrong -- Phil was knocked out of 2009 WSOP by playing a pair of 4 against a much strong hand.
Playing the Cards
I have been playing too many hands for awhile now, and it has yielded zero wins, but a few chip leads. Consistently playing 8c-7c--and similar suited connectors--for raises and reraises, causes some big swings. So if you want to play this way, strap on your seatbelt, you have a turbulent ride ahead of you! Basically, be prepared to be eliminated on Day One in events that are designed to eliminate 10% of the field on Day One—like has happened to me on at least a dozen occasions in the last 14 months. Then, occasionally, you will also have the chip lead after Day One—this happened twice. The problem with this style of play is the frequency with which you end up going all in. Yes, the 8c-7c is terrific when it comes down 8-7-3, but how about when it comes J-8-3 and your lone opponent has K-K? Sometimes you end up losing so many chips early, and because you are playing lots of pots (you have a loose table image), when you do move all in with your A-K, J-J, or K-K, you get called by the A-Q. Congrats, you have A-K vs. A-Q, but still, you’re all in on Day One!
So now that I was out there on the “Playing too many hands” kick for over a year, it was only natural that I over-adjust to the play super tight and “Make one move per hour” strategy. I started this strategy in Aruba. I folded suited connectors for a raise, or a reraise, and I rarely bluffed. I would, on occasion, reraise with a hand like K-Q suited, but only when I thought that it was the best hand. This style kept me out of trouble on Day One, where I ran up my starting stack for $15,000 to $50,000 completely risk free—my double up hand I limped with As-Js under the gun, flopped a flush, and doubled up against two players who were drawing dead. On Day Two I ran horribly, but not in any one given pot. I think that I had one pair of pocket kings, no straights, no sets, no flushes, and no other big pairs! Still, I managed to break even for the day, to never be all in the entire day, and thus end the day with around $50,000. Zero all ins in two days: playing super tight does have its advantages! On Day Three I finally played a coin flip with pocket jacks vs. their K-Q suited (the guy played horribly to even be in that pot). Then I picked up A-A, vs. their K-K and their Ac-Kc, and was able to get all in, only to lose some of my chips (the K-K won with a river king, but I had more chips than he did). Finally, with 54 players left, and 45 getting paid, I moved all in with Ah-Kh, and ran into A-A; good day, Phil!
Still, I was encouraged. It felt like the old days where I was getting all of my money in pre-flop with A-A, K-K, A-K, and occasionally Q-Q. The problem with this strategy is that it depends on the cards. The strength is that you can, with some effort, make it through whole days without ever being all in.
Going into the $15,000 buy in World Poker Tour tournament at the Bellagio, the Festa Al Lago, I decided to make roughly one over-the-top move per hour. I figure that the over-the-top move works around 75% of the time anyway, but for me it works almost 90% of the time (because of my reading ability). And with a starting stack of $60,000, in the middle of Day Two, I found myself effortlessly folding hand-after-hand. It felt good! Late in Day Two, with the blinds at $800-$1,600, I put $45,000 of my $60,000 starting stack in the middle with my A-K to their Q-Q, but I lost. Then one hour later I was all in for my last $20,000 with my A-K to their J-J, and I lost. So since switching back to super tight poker, my last four big pots I was all in pre-flop with A-K, A-A, A-K, and A-K. I lost all four, but so what? This is Phil Hellmuth poker! |
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