|
本帖最后由 三脚架 于 2017-6-25 00:44 编辑
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 101.3 BB (VPIP: 34.29, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 36)
SB: 142.4 BB (VPIP: 12.48, PFR: 10.28, 3Bet Preflop: 4.78, Hands: 1,327)
BB: 103.2 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
Hero (UTG): 143.9 BB
UTG+1: 100.2 BB (VPIP: 12.40, PFR: 9.29, 3Bet Preflop: 4.16, Hands: 3,361)
MP: 97 BB (VPIP: 15.44, PFR: 8.52, 3Bet Preflop: 0.89, Hands: 1,079)
MP+1: 104.3 BB (VPIP: 14.59, PFR: 12.34, 3Bet Preflop: 4.87, Hands: 3,335)
MP+2: 112.4 BB (VPIP: 13.32, PFR: 8.81, 3Bet Preflop: 3.80, Hands: 2,199)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 16.16, PFR: 10.48, 3Bet Preflop: 3.33, Hands: 232)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K K
Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 12 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 26 BB, MP+1 raises to 104.3 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 78.3 BB
Flop: (210.1 BB, 2 players) 4 K 6
Turn: (210.1 BB, 2 players) J
River: (210.1 BB, 2 players) A
Players agreed to run it twice.
Flop #2: (210.1 BB, 2 players) 8 3 4
Turn #2: (210.1 BB, 2 players) 7
River #2: (210.1 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero shows K K (Three of a Kind, Kings)
Board #1 (Pre 18%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
(One Pair, Kings)
Board #2 (Pre 12%, Flop 5%, Turn 3%)
MP+1 shows A A (Three of a Kind, Aces)
Board #1 (Pre 82%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
(One Pair, Aces)
Board #2 (Pre 88%, Flop 95%, Turn 97%)
MP+1 wins 100.3 BB
MP+1 wins 100.3 BB
这种情况就是MP VS EP open, 对手持AA, 我们持KK. cooler 么? 未必.
对手3b=5, 3b ep=4, 我们取4=1225*0.04=49
等于=AJo*(-2), JJ+, AK, 98s, A5s A4s. 这个数据很松很宽.
对手ft4=60%, 我们选择的是26>12=(26-3)/((26+12+1.5)*.95)=0.6129247168554297
对手c range=49*.4=19.6=QQ+, AKs, AKo*(3/4)
顺带一提是我们的4bet的size vs V 的odds
26>12=14/(26+26+1.5)=0.2616822429906542
25>12=13/(25+25+1.5)=0.2524271844660194
24>12=12/(24+24+1.5)=0.2424242424242424
vs 非AA 对手equity to river=25.3, equity to flop=15.8, 怎么说, 26确实给对手一个错误的odds, 但是区别太小.
回过头来, vs c range KK 仍然是领先的, 尤其vs 对手flat 4bet range.
但是要注意如果对手5bet, 会不会5bet AA 以外的牌?
我有对手3K 的hands, 对手 5bet+=14.29,=49*0.1429=7.0021
对手avg all pf=62, 如果所有人all in range=KK+, 则他pre all=AA, KK*50%,
很抱歉, 对手 这里5bet 的bottom range=KK.
所需赔率=22.6.
EV=(100.3*2-78.33)*0.226-(78.33*0.774)=-32.9944
-32bb 其实输很多了, 这里是Hero fold to 5bet 一个好机会
-----------------------
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 166.4 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
SB: 134.8 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 15.08, 3Bet Preflop: 3.36, Hands: 308)
BB: 147.6 BB (VPIP: 14.46, PFR: 12.08, 3Bet Preflop: 4.43, Hands: 1,960)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 15.08, PFR: 10.58, 3Bet Preflop: 6.00, Hands: 385)
UTG+1: 104.5 BB (VPIP: 15.83, PFR: 12.23, 3Bet Preflop: 5.08, Hands: 141)
MP: 119.7 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
MP+1: 96.5 BB (VPIP: 41.18, PFR: 17.65, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
Hero (MP+2): 162 BB
CO: 103 BB (VPIP: 15.96, PFR: 12.77, 3Bet Preflop: 7.89, Hands: 95)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K K
fold, fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to 30.6 BB, fold, fold
BB wins 21.5 BB
对手cold 4bet, 这个算法可能和open-4bet 不一样, 但是大致倾向是: 对手open 12%, 4bet 4%=5.88=AA, notes 里面显示 4bet=AA (1),
这里KK可以毫不犹豫的丢, 直接剥削对手.
这里对手好在直接bet 30bb, 因为我们彼此有效比较深, 如果对手4bet小一点, 如果没注意千万别5bet. call for setmining if have price.
这个让我注意到live了. 对付12/10的紧手千万别瞎打KK.
|
|