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有搞股票的吗?

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31#
wmwmw 发表于 2009-5-28 22:13:26 | 只看该作者

有搞股票的吗?

51%机会中期趋势going down.
中期趋势一旦成立,会一直持续下去,通常要跌几个月.
32#
wusong2 发表于 2009-6-2 00:06:11 | 只看该作者

有搞股票的吗?

can we think SPY, QQQQ is on breakout mode after consolidation in the past few weeks? Can we think the up-trend is finally established?
oil, gold are hot, and I think oil is hotter though, I like oil service ETF: OIH. how do you guys play OIH sector?

BTW, How do you folks buy Chinese stocks in US?
33#
wmwmw 发表于 2009-6-2 00:29:03 | 只看该作者

有搞股票的吗?

现在break out的可能性在60%.
不过中期支撑线在底下不远(28日曾经日内打破收市又拉到支撑线之上).市场马上就要回档调整.而这一轮调整有可能打破中期支撑线.
所以要看调整以后市场怎么走.如果能够拉起来再创新高,才能基本确立中期上升趋势完好.
34#
wusong2 发表于 2009-6-2 01:08:55 | 只看该作者

有搞股票的吗?

wmwmw,
thanks for your comments, very enlightening. I like reading your posts here.
不过中期支撑线在底下不远(28日曾经日内打破收市又拉到支撑线之上).市场马上就要回档调整.而这一轮调整有可能打破中期支撑线.
I did think we would in correction mode (回档调整)in the past few weeks, but it didn't happen. and I agree with you there will be 回档调整 soon, I just want to know what's your timeframe for this correction? this week or next week?
I think most likely it's next week.

this week we will see money pouring in the stock market from all the places. then the correction will happen.

what's your sentiment and analysis of OIL and OIH?
35#
wusong2 发表于 2009-6-2 01:16:35 | 只看该作者

有搞股票的吗?

BTW, I am still long the market with 80% money in positions. my approach is stay with the long as long as the up-trend is not broken.
36#
wmwmw 发表于 2009-6-2 01:22:02 | 只看该作者

有搞股票的吗?

wmwmw,
thanks for your comments, very enlightening. I like reading your posts here.
不过中期支撑线在底下不远(28日曾经日内打破收市又拉到支撑线之上).市场马上就要回档调整.而这一轮调整有可能打破中期支撑线.
I did think we would in correction mode (回档调整)in the past few weeks, but it didn't happen. and I agree with you there will be 回档调整 soon, I just want to know what's your timeframe for this correction? this week or next week?
I think most likely it's next week.

this week we will see money pouring in the stock market from all the places. then the correction will happen.

what's your sentiment and analysis of OIL and OIH?

短期调整最早可能明天开始.如果明天还没有的话,后天可能最大.
如果是个上升势,到NASDAQ1770就能止住.然后重新拉起来创新高.
如果打破中期支撑线,并不意味肯定是中期跌势,只是可能性增加了而已.
我对OIL and OIH不熟.
37#
wmwmw 发表于 2009-6-2 01:26:04 | 只看该作者

有搞股票的吗?

BTW, I am still long the market with 80% money in positions. my approach is stay with the long as long as the up-trend is not broken.

You got good approach.
我主要作swing.
现在short干船.
回档后可能在支持位买casinos.
38#
wusong2 发表于 2009-6-2 01:37:27 | 只看该作者

有搞股票的吗?

I like swing trade as well.
it might be more profitable than DT.
I am in between investment and swing trade.
I may do some swing trading/day trading if I think I have the capability to do so.
long: QQQQ, AAPL, OIH, GS, CSCO, fxi
39#
wmwmw 发表于 2009-6-2 02:01:07 | 只看该作者

有搞股票的吗?

I like swing trade as well.
it might be more profitable than DT.
I am in between investment and swing trade.
I may do some swing trading/day trading if I think I have the capability to do so.
long: QQQQ, AAPL, OIH, GS, CSCO, fxi

CSCO差一些.
其他都不错.
40#
pickwick 发表于 2009-6-16 01:44:52 | 只看该作者

有搞股票的吗?

你教我德州扑克,我介绍给你怎样玩股票,好不好?
股票市场低迷事好办,关键就在于市场把价格抬高了,玩不玩?嫌贵不玩,照样涨;玩,回头就跌,怎办?
每个人性格不同,需要按自己的性格和行为方式来寻找自己的玩法,也就是有优势的地方,来零和别人的追涨杀跌,美股不了解,但总的来讲,国内现在应该“止损不止赚”
美股没研究过,资产证券化程度太高,可能没得玩。逆向,不敢,涨跌幅度太大。
老美现在在汇市、期货、大宗商品几个方向轮流、颠倒、反复的玩,无外乎就是消耗外国的美元外储。掌握这个大方向就没错,洗完牌后,市场还会起来的。
正如陶冬所说:原来以为这次次贷,中轻伤、欧重伤、美内伤,现在看不然,美轻、欧重、中成了内伤。
股票的智慧在于往人少的地方去,等人逐渐来的多了,把低价来的存货卖给别人,就是一个“人弃我取”,追热点得手脚麻利,别贪心。
想想好多知名大佬,索罗斯,年均30%多,巴菲特年头长,年均26%,国内的一年赚50%,都好像没赚的感觉,呵呵
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