给大家出道题

昨天遇到的一手牌，觉得这种情况其实是蛮常见的，我改了一下，变得更加general了。

Hero手上拿AA， preflop raise，HU pot，我们IP。flop出来dry board，check bet call。pot 10，我们每人还有40.对方check，我们bet 10，对方check raise all in。根据我们判断，他要不有set，要不就是比我们小的over pair，KK，QQ。也就是说不是5%-95%就是95%-5%。那么，到底他们多少%可能是set，我们call all in是breakeven的呢？

如果其他条件不变，equity是20%-80%/80%-20%呢？
如果其他条件不变，SPR on turn是3？SPR on turn是5？

有没有一个简单的公式或方法，只要我知道equity（先假设对称equity，譬如不是6-4就是4-6，不是2-8就是8-2）和SPR，迅速能找出breakeven point？（假设hero bet pot，get c/r allin）

这道题答案不难，但是如果在具体碰到的时候不可能有这么多时间慢慢算，所以我想能不能先找几个简单的情况，具体碰到后就可以找到相近的model，帮助分析。

对手的紧松怎么考量？

对手的紧松怎么考量？

这个和松紧是无关的。

Ok, you did not give the board. let suppose the board was 278
He has 12 possibalities of KK and QQ
and he also has 9 possibalities of 22, 77 and 88.
then calculate if you should call or fold.
i do not need think a long time, it is a calling decision.
but if you put him on 2 pairs, it is much more complicated

the calculation like this
there were 20+10=30 in the pot. as soon as he all in for 40, you need 30 to win 70, you only need 30% chances to win, call it.

Ok, you did not give the board. let suppose the board was 278
He has 12 possibalities of KK and QQ
and he also has 9 possibalities of 22, 77 and 88.
then calculate if you should call or fold.
i do not need think a long time, it is a calling decision.
but if you put him on 2 pairs, it is much more complicated

the calculation like this
there were 20+10=30 in the pot. as soon as he all in for 40, you need 30 to win 70, you only need 30% chances to win, call it.

我傻了，看了墙兄回复才反应过来。因为这里equity对称，正好可以抵消忽略不计了，只要考虑pot odds就好了，我算出来答案一样，但是把这个问题想复杂了。如果把问题改在flop上，either是set or FD，这样稍微有点意义。

fold

不到200NL以上，baluga几乎永远是对的

fold

不到200NL以上，baluga几乎永远是对的

如果根据baluga，那应该是call

大哥解释下baluga是什么啊？

我也不知道是什么，看着像八格牙路。