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假如是您,怎样处理这手牌？
An important concept to understand is that hand values change dramatically when the pot becomes heads up.
Any two big cards become raising material and a player of Phil Ivey's calibre is well aware of this. Thus when I raise from the SB
I can expect Phil to re-raise with any big pair or strong Ace. When Phil just calls my raise, I can be reasonably sure that KT is the best hand. The flop is a good one for me so I bet out not expecting to get called. When I do get called I have to make a quick decision as to what Phil is holding. He will not have KK QQ JJ or AK AQ AJ so what is his most likely holding. Phil has to have a hand because I have represented a strong hand and the board is all high cards that are likely to have helped me. So I decide Phil's hand is likely to be T8 suited or possibly J8 suited, Q9 or QT. TT or are possible but unlikely because Phil would probably have reraised with a fairly big pair. T9 is possible but there is a strong chance that Phil would raise on the flop. He knows I may have flopped two pairs or a set and may not get away from AK. If the board pairs and I have AK it will be hard for Phil to get paid off after a call on the flop so Phil would probably play T9 aggressively. So I was confident that I had best hand on flop.
When the T comes on the turn I bet out again to represent the Ace and is surprised to get called. However I don't believe Phil has an Ace because what would his kicker be? It cannot be a high kicker because there was no pr-flop re-raise. It cannot be a low kicker because Phil would not call the flop. Therefore Phil does not have an Ace. But what does he have? Well a 9 is a very definite possibility but if Phil has a 9 he has to be afraid of an Ace in my hand. The river card cannot have helped either player so I check.
This has the advantage of possibly enticing a bluff from Phil. A bet would only get called by a hand that could beat KT so there is no gain in betting. However Phil may try and get me off my hand if I give him the opportunity to bluff at the pot.
Here's how I played this hand:
I raised to 5,300 pre-flop he called
Bet 9,800 on the flop
Bet 21,000 on the turn
Check and called for 33,000 on the river
By the way, Phil was last longer than I in the tourney. LOL...That's POKER!!!
非常感谢各位同学的参与。特别要致谢小顺子的翻译。看不太懂的同学找小顺子算帐去，不关我事。呵呵 [s:167] [s:167] [s:167]
一个重要的概念要理解的是牌的价值改变很多当两人对决的时候
任何两张大牌变成了可以加注的牌，以Phil Ivey这种牌手的能力，肯定知道这个的道理。所以当我从小盲注加注的时候，我可以知道Phil Ivey会再加注任何强A或大对。当Phil Ivey只是跟我的加注，我很有理由相信我拥有的KT是比较好的牌。
Flop是一个好的board,所以我继续下注没有Phil Ivey会跟。 当Phil Ivey跟牌的时候，我需要尽快做出判定Ivey手上有可能的牌。他不会有KK, QQ, JJ 或 AK, AQ, AJ, 所以什么会是他最有可能的牌。
Phil Ivey肯定有一定的牌力，因为我的行动已经代表我有强的牌，扶老婆的牌都是大牌，都是很可能帮助到我的牌。所以我判定Phil Ivey手上的牌应该是T8同花，或 J8同花， Q9 或 QQ。TT有点可能性但是如果Phil Ivey有TT,很大可能他在preflop就会再加注了。T9有可能但是Phil Ivey很大可能会在这个flop加注而不是跟注。他知道我可能flop到两对，或set 或 有AK而不能放掉。如果接下来的board 对上了，我有AK, 那么P.Ivey就很难能得到价值了如果他只是在flop跟牌，因为我会弃掉我的AK。所以我相信Phil 会在flop把他的T9玩得很激进。所以我有信心我拥有最好的手在flop。
当转机牌来了个T,我继续下注代表A, 很惊奇的P.Ivey继续跟牌。但是我不相信P.Ivey有一个A,因为如果是他的kicker会是什么呢？ 不会是高牌，因为翻牌前没有再加注。还有他不会有A低kicker因为他不会在flop跟牌。所以P.Ivey没有A。但是他会有什么？well, 9是很有可能，但是如果P.Ivey有9,他必须害怕我有A。河牌没有帮助任何人，所以我观望。
我的观望可以引来P.Ivey的诈唬，我的下注只能被比KT更强的牌跟，所以我的下注是没有价值的。但是P.Ivey可能会试想把我吓跑，如果我给他这个机会。
以下是我怎么玩这手牌
翻牌前， 我加注至5,300 P.Ivey 跟注
翻牌圈， 我下注 9,800 P.Ivey 跟注
转牌圈， 我下注 21,000 P.Ivey 跟注
河牌圈， 我观望 P.Ivey下注 33,000 我跟注
这个比赛最后是Phil Ivey比我还迟出局 LOL 这就是扑克！ |
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