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PokerStars - $20+$5+$2|300/600 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
SB: 17,400.00
BB: 18,792.00
UTG: 9,184.00
UTG+1: 21,815.00
MP: 16,317.00
Hero (MP+1): 20,854.00
LP: 7,024.00
CO: 12,894.00
BTN: 2,348.00
SB posts ante 60.00, BB posts ante 60.00, UTG posts ante 60.00, UTG+1 posts ante 60.00, MP posts ante 60.00, Hero posts ante 60.00, LP posts ante 60.00, CO posts ante 60.00, BTN posts ante 60.00, SB posts SB 300.00, BB posts BB 600.00
Pre Flop: (1440.00) Hero has A J
fold, fold, MP raises to 1,800.00, Hero calls 1,800.00, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold
Flop: (5040.00, 2 players) K 8 J
MP bets 2,265.00, Hero calls 2,265.00
Turn: (9570.00, 2 players) A
MP bets 3,985.00, Hero calls 3,985.00
River: (17540.00, 2 players) T
MP checks, Hero checks
MP shows K K (Three of a Kind, Kings) (Pre 71%, Flop 98%, Turn 95%)
Hero mucks A J (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks) (Pre 29%, Flop 2%, Turn 5%)
MP wins 17,540.00
总结:一开始我想shove,但是筹码不够pot,达不到给他1/2 pot odds的效果所以就放弃了。后来细想他在river上check的目的是什么?根据他的行为,他的better hands: Sets,AK,AQ,KQ; Worse hands: KJ,AT,A-rags。再根据他的牌推导他将来的行为: 【Sets,AK,AQ,KQ】【KJ,AT】 - check to call; A-rags - check to fold.
这里shove作为bluff是不好的决定,因为不能make him fold better hands; Shove作为value bet也不好,因为他大部分的calling hands都比我的牌好,他fold的牌比我的牌糟。
要用Bayesian的思维推测对手的下一步行动。 |
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