如何抵御下风期

本人目前正处于25个buyin的下风期，不得已上网寻找安慰，看了一些文章，觉得有些帮助，于是贴一篇在这里，并亲自翻译，一为分享，
二为加深印象，三为平静心态。

以下为转载：

http://www.pocketfives.com/articles/downswing-224268/
By 1.21Gigawatts
- Published on March 29th, 2006
On a dark and gloomy day in May of 1572, it rained in the Atacama Desert.

Then, 400 years later, it finally rained again.

Talk about a dry spell.

And if you've played poker long enough, you've probably experienced the same thing. Maybe not 400 years, but it can sure feel that way. It's when nothing is going your way, your opponents keep getting the best of you, and the cards are running as poorly as Stephen Hawking in a footrace

(I'm going to hell for that one.)

Everyone's been there before, and everyone has their own story to tell. Still, that doesn't make it any easier when it's been two weeks since your last winning session.

The downswings in poker can be brutal. So brutal in fact, that you begin to question your own skill level - not to mention your own sanity. You start asking whether or not you're even good enough to play this game. And sometimes when it gets really bad, you start wondering why you ever loved this game in the first place.

But hey, that's poker, right? A game where the law of averages works in its most volatile state. Where you're either on the heater of a lifetime, or stuck in a three-week drought of misery. It's never easy, even when you think you know everything there is to know about the game. Because you always have to deal with that one thing:

Variance. And there's no stopping it.

Still, the variance pill becomes harder and harder to swallow with each losing session.

"Forget it," I said to myself earlier tonight. "I just flat out suck."

I have lost all confidence. I am Jack's crumbling self-esteem.

It's the low point in a poker career; the worst run of your life. When you're completely card dead and all you have left to rely on is a crappy continuation bet on a ragged flop.

It's when you pick up pocket Jacks and say to yourself,

"Please let there only be one overcard on the flop, because I'm sick of seeing all three."

It's when everytime you raise with A,Q or 9,10 you get repopped by the guy in the small blind who hasn't played a hand in hours. And then when you do pick up Aces, you win nothing but the blinds.

And don't even get me started on pocket kings. I'm so fed up at this point, the only cowboys I want to go near are the two guys from "Brokeback Mountain."

But it's not like you're always missing the flop. It's just that when you do connect, you're running into monsters anyway. But that doesn't matter, because top pair, weak kicker never looked so good. I guess that's where the bad play sets in. After 89 missed flops in a row, a simple flush draw begins to look like a thing of beauty.

"You mean I'm not a 6-to-1 dog right now!? Hell, I'm all-in then."

That's when it becomes the last act of a desperate man. Sure, I'm probably drawing dead, but how many times in life can we say we got all our money in with a 15% to win? It's a proud moment (during a downswing) as far as I'm concerned.

It's when the only pots you're not losing, are the ones you get to split 3-ways.

It's when you've completely given up on small pocket pairs, because they stopped hitting months ago. It's when you sit and play for three hours and 380 hands, and the only full house you see is another lousy rerun on Nick at Nite.

It's when you finally do flop top two pair, your opponent loses connection and sits out, and you get to check it down with him while he's away (thanks to disconnect-protection).

Lucky you though, because he rivered a set anyway.

But hey, that's poker. And that's variance. Get used to it. And make sure you're never playing above your bankroll. Otherwise, a two week drought could temporarily put an end to your poker career.

Just know that the swings happen to everyone, even the best players in the world. And that eventually, it will all turn around. The good cards will come. And it will rain again.

这文章很湿....

1572年5月，黑暗阴沉的一天，阿塔卡马沙漠下雨了。

然后，400年后，终于——再次——下雨了。

我们来谈一谈干旱得问题。

如果你玩扑克时间足够长，你可能已经经历了同样的事情。也许不是400年，但可以肯定你会有这样的感觉。

这时候一切都不向着你，你的对手总是得到最好的。而牌来得糟糕的如同斯蒂芬－霍金参加赛跑。

（原谅我如此说）

每个人都经历过，每个人都有自己的故事。不过，当你两周以来从未赢过一个场次时，这么说这并不能使你觉得好受多少。

扑克的下风期可以是非常残酷。如此残酷，以致于你开始怀疑自己的技术水平 —— 更不要说你自己的理智。
你开始怀疑自己是否能玩这个游戏。而有时如果非常糟糕时，你甚至开始想知道到底为什么最初你竟然开始喜欢这个游戏。

但是，嘿，那是扑克，对不对？这仍然是一个由平均概率统治的游戏——以最多变的方式。不管是你是鸿运当头，还是倒霉得喝凉水都塞牙缝。
扑克从来都不容易，即使你认为你已知道玩这个游戏所需要知道的一切。因为你总是要面对一个东西：

“波动”

没什么能阻止。

尽管如此，随着一个个输钱的场次，波动这颗苦果变得越来越难以吞咽。

“ 算了吧，”今天早些我对自己说，“我只是倒霉”

我已经失去了所有的信心，我的自尊摇摇欲坠。

这是扑克职业生涯的最低点，你一生中最糟糕的时刻。你完全没牌，所有你只能依赖的时在垃圾翻牌面的一个无可奈何的继续下注。

——这是当你拿起口袋对J，对自己说，“但愿翻牌只有一张高牌，因为我已经厌恶在翻牌看到看到AKQ都出现"
——这是当每次你拿着AQ或者9T加注，你总是被一个在小盲注位置，而且好几个小时没有玩一手的对手（非常紧的对手）
    再加注。然后——当你终于拿到口袋对A，你又仅仅赢了大小盲注。
——别跟我提KK，这是烫手的山芋，我早被搞怕了。我唯一想靠近的“牛仔”（KK 俗称牛仔）是断背山里的两个家伙。

不过也并不是总错过翻牌面，只是，当你总算有点东西时，你就碰上了对手的超级大牌。但是，这并不重要，因为顶对，弱踢脚本来也不是什么好牌。

问题在于这里:

当89总是错过一个又一个翻牌面，此时哪怕是一个简单的同花听牌都看起来如此美丽。

“你说我现在（终于）不是一个6比1的劣势？”，那好，我全押了。

这是一个绝望的人的最后一博。当然，我可能已经听死了，但是，在生活中有多少次这样的机会，我们可以宣称，在一个15％的赢面投入所有的钱？

这是一个值得骄傲的时刻（在下风期），对我而言。

这是你唯一一个赢得的底池。也是——三家瓜分的一个。

这时你完全放弃了对小口袋对子，因为他们已经几个月没有凑成三条了。
这时你坐三个小时，380手牌后，唯一的葫芦是你看到了墙上挂着的你老爸装酒的那一个。
这时你终于翻牌中了两对，你的对手断网了。。。一路过牌下来，而他的断网（感谢断线保护！）。你真幸运，因为他河牌成了三条。。。

但是，嘿，这就是扑克。这就是波动。习惯它。并确保不会让你破产。否则，一两个星期的霉运可能暂时终止您的扑克生涯。

"记住每个人发生都有下风期，甚至在世界上最好的牌手。而最终，它都将扭转。好牌会来的。

——雨会再来的。"

25个buyin...
真的不算多

下风期就是长期不赢。

那就让暴风雨来得更猛烈些吧。

25个buy in 应该review 一下自己的打法了. 特别如果你是玩microstake的.  一般stake 越高swing越大因为人人都凶.. microstake under NL50 5-10个buy-in swing 就很大了.

回复 7# windstormm

5个buyin是非常正常的，20个以上算大的了。

回复  windstormm

5个buyin是非常正常的，20个以上算大的了。
yacaimei 发表于 2010-6-17 10:13

20 个绝对有问题.. 10个很大了但还正常.....

提高技术！