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interesting spot with a decent player.
5 players.
Hero in BB, Villian limped UTG, UTG+1 called, I check in BB with TT (reason being that Villian plays real snug and also capable of putting me to very tough spot post flop, so here I check TT in order to both neutralize his positional advantage (we're >200BB deep) and to trap him).
Flop: Qc5d7d
I check, Villian bet, call, call.
Turn: Th
I lead, Villian calls, 1 fold.
River: 6c
I lead pot size, Villian shove >200BB into a pot of 50BB.
Problem for me here is that
1) I'm basically at the very top of my range, considering that I never call OOP in a 3way pot with a gutshot like 89 or 34, and that I would almost always re-raise with 8d9d or 4d3d based on the fact that it was a limping pot. From GTO point of view, folding this hand would be very exploitable.
2) Villian would never put me on TT, from his POV, he likely put me on a Q or 2p. He's likely feeling that those hands *can't* call a shove this big.
3) I've seen villian do this with missed draws, and here we have a missed flush draw.
4) villian is good enough to also do this do nuts, but on the other hand, I don't have hand history where he overbet shove with nuts.
5) the shove is fairly quick, not after a deep tank. Quick river overbet can indicate a bluff, since value hands normally would think about the best value bet size.
etc.etc.
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